Hotel Investment Screening

Before investing in a hotel, verify whether the numbers truly support the deal.

In the hotel investment market, opportunities are often presented in the same way:

  • prime location.
  • strong upside potential.
  • room for growth.
  • unique asset.

But an investment cannot be assessed on the strength of a sales narrative.

It must be assessed through financial performance, cash generation, capital requirements, debt sustainability and the relationship between price and earnings capacity.

Hotel Investment Screening is the service provided by InvestimentiAlberghieri.it for investors, family offices, hotel owners, operators, banks and professional advisors who want an initial structured assessment of a hotel opportunity before committing significant capital, time and due diligence costs.

Analyse first. Decide second.

Request a Hotel Investment Screening

Have you received a hotel investment dossier?

Before falling in love with the opportunity, check whether the numbers support it.

A hotel may have:

  • an outstanding location
  • strong occupancy
  • substantial revenue
  • a recognised brand
  • valuable underlying real estate

and still represent a weak investment.

Because what matters is not simply how much revenue the hotel generates.

What matters is:

  • how much margin it produces
  • how much capital it requires
  • how much debt it can sustain
  • how much CAPEX will be needed
  • what return it can generate
  • whether the asking price is economically justified

The screening process answers one essential question

Is this opportunity worth pursuing?

The objective is not to produce a full due diligence report immediately.

It is to help the investor decide whether starting one is justified.

This can prevent weeks of unnecessary work and advisory costs on opportunities that already show structural weaknesses at a preliminary stage.

From sales opportunity to investment case

The screening process converts an opportunity presented by the market into an initial economic and financial assessment.

Based on the information available, the analysis may cover four fundamental dimensions:

  • asset
  • operations
  • capital structure
  • investment return
01

Asset overview

We analyse the main characteristics of the property and operating business, including:

  • location
  • destination
  • category
  • number of rooms
  • facilities
  • positioning
  • reference market
  • brand affiliation, where applicable
  • operating model
  • relevant real estate characteristics

The objective is to understand the context in which the financial performance must be interpreted.

02

Hotel operating performance

Where sufficient data is available, we analyse the key operating metrics, including:

  • revenue
  • ADR
  • occupancy
  • RevPAR
  • GOP
  • GOP margin
  • GOPPAR
  • normalised EBITDA
  • cost structure
  • payroll
  • key operating expense ratios

Revenue alone does not determine the quality of a hotel investment.

What ultimately matters is the asset's ability to convert revenue into sustainable cash flow.

03

The asking price

One of the most common mistakes in hotel transactions is discussing price before understanding how it relates to the asset's earnings capacity.

The screening may assess:

  • total asking price
  • price per key
  • implied valuation multiples
  • yield
  • price-to-GOP relationship
  • price-to-EBITDA relationship
  • potential return on equity
  • consistency between price and cash-generating capacity

Price per key is a metric. It is not a valuation.

A hotel priced at €500,000 per key may be attractive.

A hotel priced at €150,000 per key may still be overpriced.

The difference lies in the asset's ability to generate an adequate return on the capital required.

04

CAPEX

The acquisition price is often only one component of the overall investment.

The investor must understand what happens after closing.

The screening may include a preliminary assessment of potential capital expenditure requirements relating to:

  • guestrooms
  • bathrooms
  • plant and equipment
  • public areas
  • restaurants
  • spas
  • meeting spaces
  • façades
  • energy efficiency
  • regulatory compliance
  • brand standards
  • repositioning

An investment that appears attractive at first glance may change materially once substantial CAPEX requirements are taken into account.

05

Capital structure

The quality of an investment depends not only on the asset itself.

It also depends on how the acquisition is financed.

The preliminary analysis may consider:

  • equity requirement
  • leverage
  • debt capacity
  • cost of debt
  • debt service
  • DSCR
  • available cash flow
  • sustainability of the proposed capital structure

A hotel can be a good asset and still be a poor financial transaction.

The screening process is designed to distinguish between the two.

06

Sensitivity analysis

A hotel investment should also be tested under scenarios in which assumptions do not develop exactly as expected.

The screening may assess the impact of changes in:

  • ADR
  • occupancy
  • RevPAR
  • operating costs
  • payroll
  • GOP margin
  • CAPEX
  • cost of debt
  • leverage

This helps determine whether the investment case is resilient or dependent on overly optimistic assumptions.

07

Red flags

A central part of the screening process is identifying the key issues that may require deeper investigation.

These may include:

  • insufficient margins
  • abnormal cost structure
  • underestimated CAPEX
  • misaligned pricing
  • overly aggressive business plan assumptions
  • excessive dependence on a single revenue stream
  • high debt service requirements
  • elevated break-even levels
  • operating performance inconsistent with the asset's positioning
  • insufficient supporting documentation
  • the need for further technical, legal or tax due diligence

The screening does not eliminate risk.

It makes risk visible earlier.

The outcome: GREEN, AMBER or RED

The Hotel Investment Screening concludes with a preliminary assessment of the opportunity.

GREEN

The opportunity presents sufficiently attractive characteristics to justify further analysis.

This does not mean the investment is automatically approvable.

It means there is a reasonable basis for proceeding to the next stage.

AMBER

The investment may be attractive only under specific conditions.

For example:

  • lower acquisition price
  • different capital structure
  • reduced CAPEX
  • realistic ADR growth
  • margin improvement
  • different operating model

The screening identifies which variables may materially change the quality of the investment case.

RED

The available information highlights issues that, at the current stage, may not justify further investment of time and resources.

A decision not to proceed can itself be an economically valuable outcome.

Screening and due diligence are not the same thing

This distinction is fundamental.

Hotel Investment Screening

Should we continue?

A preliminary decision-oriented assessment.

Full investment analysis

We have decided to continue and now need to structure the investment.

This may include:

  • business plan
  • financial model
  • valuation
  • debt sizing
  • CAPEX analysis
  • advanced sensitivity analysis
  • lease versus management analysis
  • investment memorandum
  • financing strategy
  • value creation plan

Due diligence

We need to verify the transaction formally before closing.

This may involve specialist legal, tax, technical, planning, operational and financial advisors.

Hotel Investment Screening comes first.

Its purpose is to determine whether getting to that stage is justified.

What the client receives

Depending on the level of engagement, the service may include:

  • executive summary
  • asset analysis
  • key hotel KPIs
  • profitability analysis
  • preliminary pricing assessment
  • price per key
  • CAPEX considerations
  • preliminary debt capacity
  • DSCR analysis
  • sensitivity analysis
  • key red flags
  • scenario analysis
  • conclusions
  • GREEN / AMBER / RED indication
  • final review call

The exact scope is defined based on the documentation available and the complexity of the investment case.

Who the service is for

Private investors and family offices

For assessing opportunities before committing significant capital.

Funds and professional investors

For creating a disciplined initial filter for incoming opportunities.

Hotel operators

For evaluating acquisitions, leases, management agreements and new projects.

Hotel owners

For assessing investments, acquisitions and value-enhancement strategies.

Real estate investors

For evaluating conversions and hospitality repositioning projects.

Banks and lenders

For obtaining an initial operational and commercial view of the asset and its ability to generate cash flow.

Timing

Where documentation is complete, the screening process is designed to be completed within a relatively short timeframe.

For standard dossiers, the objective is to provide an initial assessment within 3–5 business days from receipt of the required information.

More complex transactions may require additional time.

Fees

Quick Screening

From €1,500 + VAT

Designed for an initial assessment of the opportunity and identification of the main areas of concern.

Typically suited to relatively straightforward transactions with well-structured documentation.

Request a Hotel Investment Screening

Investment Screening

From €3,000 + VAT

A more detailed review of the investment case.

It may include:

  • operating performance
  • pricing
  • profitability
  • CAPEX
  • capital structure
  • sensitivity analysis
  • key red flags
  • conclusions
Request a Hotel Investment Screening

Investment Committee Screening

From €5,000 + VAT

Designed for transactions requiring a more structured investment-level assessment.

It may include:

  • economic and financial analysis
  • scenario analysis
  • debt capacity
  • stress testing
  • investment thesis
  • key risks
  • executive recommendation
  • final discussion with the client
Request a Hotel Investment Screening

The final fee is determined according to the complexity of the transaction, quality of the available documentation and required level of analysis.

The cost of screening is significantly lower than the cost of a poor investment decision

The mistake is not limited to acquiring the wrong hotel.

It may also involve:

  • spending weeks on a weak opportunity
  • involving lawyers and technical consultants too early
  • incurring unnecessary due diligence costs
  • negotiating financing on unsustainable assumptions
  • underestimating CAPEX
  • building a business plan on overly aggressive projections

An effective screening process creates value even when the conclusion is:

this opportunity does not justify further work.

Are you evaluating a hotel investment?

Before committing capital and incurring full due diligence costs, submit the opportunity for an independent preliminary assessment.

Request a Hotel Investment Screening

From €1,500 + VAT

info@investimentialberghieri.it

InvestimentiAlberghieri.it

Our approach

InvestimentiAlberghieri.it works through structured analysis of hotel investment dossiers.

The objective is not to support the completion of every transaction.

The objective is to help clients understand:

  • sustainability
  • profitability
  • critical issues
  • capital structure
  • capital requirements
  • key risks
  • value creation potential

We do not sell a conclusion.

We provide analysis that must be capable of producing a NO.

That is precisely what makes independent screening valuable.

From screening to full investment analysis

If the opportunity successfully passes the preliminary stage, the advisory process may continue through dedicated services, including:

  • hotel business plan
  • valuation
  • debt sizing
  • capital structure
  • financial modelling
  • CAPEX analysis
  • repositioning
  • lease vs management analysis
  • refinancing
  • investment memorandum
  • equity story
  • value creation strategy

The screening therefore represents the first stage of a broader investment process.

  1. Screening
  2. Analysis
  3. Decision
  4. Structuring

How to get started

To carry out an initial assessment, the available documentation should be submitted for review.

Depending on the transaction, useful information may include:

  • memorandum or teaser
  • asking price
  • number of rooms
  • financial information
  • financial statements
  • ADR
  • occupancy
  • RevPAR
  • GOP
  • debt information
  • historical and planned CAPEX
  • management, lease or franchise agreement, where applicable
  • seller's business plan
  • other available asset documentation

Following an initial review, the appropriate level of screening is defined.

Have you received a hotel investment dossier?

Do not ask only whether you like the hotel.

Ask whether the investment works.

Before starting a full due diligence process, test:

  • profitability
  • CAPEX
  • debt
  • returns
  • risk
  • price
Request a Hotel Investment Screening

Services from €1,500 + VAT

info@investimentialberghieri.it

InvestimentiAlberghieri.it

Analyse first. Decide second.